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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincerewin 2:0
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere

Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
GeneRaL · 13 games
62%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
ALOHADANCE · 12 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
No[o]ne · 11 games
27%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Solo · 11 games
64%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
ALOHADANCE · 11 games
55%
Puck
Puckoften banned
No[o]ne · 10 games
50%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
V-Tune · 10 games
40%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Solo · 9 games
44%

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Banesignature
Bignum · 11 games
64%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 11 games
45%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 11 games
82%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Luna
Lunasignature
7jesu · 9 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
fn · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
479 picks · 664 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
475 picks · 448 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
455 picks · 277 bans
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
417 picks · 495 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
414 picks · 566 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
401 picks · 653 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
368 picks · 574 bans
53%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
350 picks · 299 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:5
Natus Vincere 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 40:15.
Game 2prediction missed26:21
Natus Vincere 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 43:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Series resultNatus Vincere 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2