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EPL Masters II · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincerewin 1:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GamerLegionloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere

Kez
Kezoften banned
Niku · 23 games
57%
Axe
Axesignature
pma · 18 games
89%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Daze · 18 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
Daze · 17 games
59%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Daze · 15 games
60%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
pma · 15 games
73%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Riddys · 12 games
75%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Niku · 11 games
73%

GamerLegion

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 19 games
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Bignum · 19 games
37%
Kez
Kezoften banned
RCY · 19 games
53%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Speeed · 19 games
74%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
59%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Bignum · 17 games
76%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Speeed · 17 games
35%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 15 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
482 picks · 317 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 500 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
317 picks · 385 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
314 picks · 432 bans
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
301 picks · 622 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
289 picks · 106 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
282 picks · 117 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 289 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 44%
Hero pool strength58% Natus Vincere
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total72% Natus Vincere
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Natus Vincere 72%GamerLegion 28%
The model gave 72% on Natus Vincere — the game was taken by Natus Vincere.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 72%
Series resultNatus Vincere 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1