BetBoom Dacha · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Allianceloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 21 game
Disruptorsignature
so bad · 13 games
Doomsignature
Corrupted · 12 games
Juggernautsignature
v1olent- · 12 games
Techiesoften banned
Hellscream · 10 games
Terrorbladesignature
v1olent- · 10 games
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 9 games
Rubick
Hellscream · 9 games
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
623 picks · 676 bans
Rubick
485 picks · 294 bans
Batrider
431 picks · 898 bans
Ember Spirit
389 picks · 809 bans
Spirit Breaker
385 picks · 393 bans
Doom
382 picks · 859 bans
Beastmaster
356 picks · 930 bans
Pugna
355 picks · 416 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 44%
Hero pool strength61% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total68% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:13
Nemiga Gaming 68%Alliance 32%
The model gave 68% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 30:19.
Game 2prediction correct16:40
Nemiga Gaming 68%Alliance 32%
The model gave 68% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 38:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 68%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2