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Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #2 · BO5
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 3:0
series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 3:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 25 games
64%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Hellscream · 19 games
63%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Malr1ne · 17 games
47%
Techies
Techies
Hellscream · 17 games
41%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
v1olent- · 15 games
53%
Silencer
Silencersignature
so bad · 14 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Hellscream · 14 games
79%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
so bad · 13 games
77%

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tinysignature
gpK~ · 18 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 17 games
65%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 16 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 14 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
713 picks · 616 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
595 picks · 523 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
500 picks · 964 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
497 picks · 1241 bans
59%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
442 picks · 1107 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
434 picks · 887 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
416 picks · 221 bans
58%
Enchantress
Enchantress
412 picks · 593 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 53%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total78% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:19
Nemiga Gaming 34%BETBOOM TEAM 66%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 28:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
Juggernautv1olent-
54% · 70 games53% · 111 games
MedusaNightfall
Medusa
Pangolier
PangolierMalr1ne
49% · 468 games40% · 325 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Doom
DoomCorrupted
52% · 355 games53% · 200 games
Primal BeastPure~
Primal Beast
Lich
Lichso bad
52% · 131 game46% · 236 games
EnchantressSave-
Enchantress
Dark Willow
Dark WillowHellscream
53% · 84 games50% · 236 games
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
Undying
Game 2prediction missed27:14
Nemiga Gaming 34%BETBOOM TEAM 66%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 35:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
Juggernautv1olent-
49% · 57 games57% · 91 game
MedusaNightfall
Medusa
Doom
DoomCorrupted
54% · 218 games43% · 250 games
Death ProphetgpK~
Death Prophet
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMalr1ne
47% · 108 games51% · 21 game
AxePure~
Axe
Disruptor
Disruptorso bad
55% · 162 games41% · 69 games
Spirit BreakerTORONTOTOKYO
Spirit Breaker
Dark Willow
Dark WillowHellscream
63% · 48 games45% · 162 games
TechiesSave-
Techies
Game 3prediction missed27:19
Nemiga Gaming 33%BETBOOM TEAM 67%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 49:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
Juggernautv1olent-
51% · 101 game57% · 149 games
MorphlingNightfall
Morphling
Pangolier
PangolierMalr1ne
51% · 390 games39% · 117 games
MagnusPure~
Magnus
Mars
MarsCorrupted
52% · 173 games54% · 452 games
TinygpK~
Tiny
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonHellscream
49% · 65 games49% · 161 game
TechiesSave-
Techies
Silencer
Silencerso bad
47% · 244 games50% · 94 games
LichTORONTOTOKYO
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 78%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 3:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3