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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
VaniLLl · 19 games
37%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 12 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 12 games
58%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
ariel · 11 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 10 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 10 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Covisnine · 10 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
young G · 10 games
30%

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 46 games
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 40 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 36 games
58%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 26 games
65%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 26 games
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
74%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
649 picks · 691 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
525 picks · 453 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
500 picks · 421 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
436 picks · 434 bans
54%
Warlock
Warlock
436 picks · 289 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
405 picks · 1117 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
399 picks · 867 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
395 picks · 180 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 48%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed54:52
Nemiga Gaming 27%BETBOOM TEAM 73%
The model gave 73% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 1:21:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeselfhate
42% · 184 games47% · 143 games
BrewmasterMieRo
Brewmaster
Puck
Puckyoung G
52% · 237 games51% · 91 game
KezKiritych
Kez
Kunkka
KunkkaCovisnine
48% · 46 games53% · 312 games
SlardargpK~
Slardar
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkariel
56% · 195 games50% · 120 games
LionSave-
Lion
Techies
TechiesVaniLLl
42% · 20 games57% · 16 games
LichKataomi
Lich
Game 2prediction correct4:31
Nemiga Gaming 25%BETBOOM TEAM 75%
The model gave 75% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 26:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirityoung G
46% · 404 games54% · 106 games
Faceless VoidKiritych
Faceless Void
Pangolier
PangolierCovisnine
47% · 291 game52% · 496 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Muerta
Muertaselfhate
49% · 218 games52% · 255 games
UnderlordMieRo
Underlord
Tusk
Tuskariel
46% · 537 games55% · 269 games
PhoenixKataomi
Phoenix
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeVaniLLl
52% · 66 games49% · 390 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Game 3prediction correct21:44
Nemiga Gaming 25%BETBOOM TEAM 75%
The model gave 75% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
Tinyselfhate
54% · 298 games58% · 112 games
Faceless VoidKiritych
Faceless Void
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirityoung G
50% · 286 games44% · 255 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Primal Beast
Primal BeastCovisnine
51% · 167 games46% · 390 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkariel
54% · 264 games47% · 255 games
PhoenixKataomi
Phoenix
Dazzle
DazzleVaniLLl
50% · 119 games47% · 122 games
LionSave-
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 89%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3