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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cyber Goosewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 11 games
36%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bashka · 10 games
20%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 8 games
75%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 8 games
0%
Muerta
Muerta
Shishak · 7 games
29%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
young G · 6 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 6 games
33%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 6 games
33%

Cyber Goose

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
prblms · 6 games
100%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 4 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 4 games
75%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Solo · 4 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Noticed · 3 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 3 games
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
100%
Windranger
Windranger
prblms · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
501 picks · 580 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
491 picks · 442 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
462 picks · 232 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
358 picks · 723 bans
47%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
326 picks · 745 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
324 picks · 505 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
311 picks · 268 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
301 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 79%
Hero pool strength64% Cyber Goose
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Cyber Goose
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:27
Nemiga Gaming 38%Cyber Goose 62%
The model gave 62% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 31:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pangolier
PangolierCovisnine
52% · 226 games50% · 110 games
AbaddonTA2000
Abaddon
Lina
Linayoung G
56% · 88 games42% · 47 games
Death ProphetChira JUNIOR
Death Prophet
Doom
Doombashka
44% · 149 games54% · 158 games
EnigmaNoticed
Enigma
Dark Willow
Dark Willowxsvampire
48% · 174 games49% · 336 games
Batriderprblms
Batrider
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanmonodrama
57% · 84 games45% · 70 games
DisruptorSolo
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct32:39
Nemiga Gaming 36%Cyber Goose 64%
The model gave 64% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 1:00:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendyoung G
49% · 103 games48% · 97 games
AbaddonTA2000
Abaddon
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterbashka
50% · 324 games51% · 419 games
PangolierNoticed
Pangolier
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerCovisnine
51% · 210 games52% · 465 games
TinyChira JUNIOR
Tiny
Windranger
Windrangerxsvampire
43% · 243 games53% · 155 games
Ancient ApparitionSolo
Ancient Apparition
Jakiro
Jakiromonodrama
50% · 400 games54% · 144 games
Shadow Shamanprblms
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteCyber Goose · 71%
Series resultCyber Goose 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2