Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dragon Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Crystal Maiden
aik · 15 games
Lunasignature
v1olent- · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 14 games
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 14 games
Lionsignature
aik · 13 games
Rubick
queezy · 13 games
Gyrocoptersignature
queezy · 12 games
Pucksignature
nicky`cool · 12 games
Dragon Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 643 bans
Batrider
423 picks · 725 bans
Centaur Warrunner
405 picks · 584 bans
Gyrocopter
405 picks · 364 bans
Rubick
389 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 798 bans
Shadow Demon
344 picks · 958 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 72%Dragon Esports 28%
The model gave 72% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 72%Dragon Esports 28%
The model gave 72% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 72%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2