Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 30 games
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 28 games
Hoodwink
Heaven · 24 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 20 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Lodine · 20 games
Abaddon
Lodine · 19 games
Dark Willow
Heaven · 19 games
Pangolier
Ainkrad · 19 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
376 picks · 273 bans
Mars
370 picks · 537 bans
Snapfire
315 picks · 194 bans
Weaver
307 picks · 715 bans
Queen of Pain
269 picks · 336 bans
Ember Spirit
239 picks · 309 bans
Disruptor
233 picks · 155 bans
Io
226 picks · 583 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:45
Nemiga Gaming 32%Entity 68%
The model gave 68% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 31:13.
Game 2prediction correct23:37
Nemiga Gaming 32%Entity 68%
The model gave 68% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 40:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 68%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2