Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Hydrawin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 27 games
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 25 games
Dark Willow
Heaven · 24 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 24 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
Nyx Assassinsignature
Lodine · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Ainkrad · 18 games
Rubick
Heaven · 18 games
Hydra
Banesignature
Zayac · 26 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 24 games
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 23 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 21 game
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 20 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 18 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
529 picks · 369 bans
Mars
463 picks · 653 bans
Queen of Pain
419 picks · 513 bans
Weaver
411 picks · 859 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 187 bans
Kunkka
324 picks · 532 bans
Spirit Breaker
323 picks · 504 bans
Disruptor
269 picks · 180 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% Hydra
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total59% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:22
Nemiga Gaming 43%Hydra 57%
The model gave 57% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 33:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KunkkaAinkrad
LifestealerKami
MorphlingKiritych
LinaAskold
Dragon KnightTheChosenOne
BeastmasterBlizzy
IoHeaven
WeaverMuka
AbaddonVANSKOR
Nyx AssassinZayac
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 59%
Series resultHydra 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1