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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Inner Circlewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 19 games
68%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 18 games
44%
Mars
Marssignature
Covisnine · 16 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 14 games
71%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 13 games
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
xsvampire · 13 games
46%
Puck
Pucksignature
young G · 12 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
xsvampire · 11 games
45%

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 17 games
35%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Norma · 17 games
35%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Norma · 16 games
25%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 15 games
40%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Fernans · 13 games
62%
Warlock
Warlock
flacko · 12 games
33%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Fernans · 11 games
18%
Sven
Sven
yowaai · 11 games
27%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
556 picks · 735 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
497 picks · 352 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
473 picks · 644 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
443 picks · 544 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
377 picks · 631 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
365 picks · 547 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
358 picks · 116 bans
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
357 picks · 171 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 35%
Hero pool strength60% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:26
Nemiga Gaming 50%Inner Circle 50%
The model gave 50% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Inner Circle in 53:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 50%
Series resultInner Circle 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1