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Last-Last Chance · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Into The Breachwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Puck
Puckoften banned
Malr1ne · 12 games
58%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
so bad · 8 games
88%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Hellscream · 7 games
29%
Pugna
Pugna
so bad · 7 games
43%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Kiritych · 6 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 6 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Corrupted · 6 games
67%
Techies
Techiessignature
Hellscream · 6 games
67%

Into The Breach

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kidaro · 20 games
60%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 20 games
80%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Ari · 18 games
72%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 11 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 10 games
50%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
Otaker · 10 games
80%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Kidaro · 9 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 9 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
499 picks · 363 bans
51%
Marci
Marci
466 picks · 669 bans
54%
Undying
Undying
315 picks · 530 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
288 picks · 452 bans
48%
Enigma
Enigma
269 picks · 846 bans
58%
Puck
Puck
268 picks · 625 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
263 picks · 366 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
258 picks · 131 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Into The Breach
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 48%Into The Breach 52%
The model gave 52% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach.
Game 2prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 48%Into The Breach 52%
The model gave 52% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 52%
Series resultInto The Breach 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2