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DreamLeague Season 25. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Quantum Teamwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Snapfire
Snapfire
Shishak · 14 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Shishak · 11 games
36%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Miyaoo · 11 games
27%
Sven
Sven
Lowskill · 10 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
antoha · 7 games
43%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
forcemajor · 7 games
71%
Jakiro
Jakiro
forcemajor · 7 games
29%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Miyaoo · 7 games
43%

Quantum Team

Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Rvze · 8 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 7 games
43%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Fezor · 7 games
71%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Somnia · 6 games
67%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
bashka · 6 games
33%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 6 games
33%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Somnia · 5 games
20%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Somnia · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
401 picks · 495 bans
55%
Muerta
Muerta
373 picks · 285 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
369 picks · 414 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
349 picks · 556 bans
46%
Batrider
Batrider
325 picks · 383 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
322 picks · 724 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
311 picks · 146 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
294 picks · 254 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)34% vs 42%
Hero pool strength53% Quantum Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:44
Nemiga Gaming 59%Quantum Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 58:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 59%
Series resultQuantum Team 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1