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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Empirewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 29 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 25 games
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
57%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Heaven · 20 games
45%
Rubick
Rubick
Heaven · 20 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ainkrad · 19 games
58%
Bane
Banesignature
VANSKOR · 18 games
72%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VANSKOR · 17 games
59%

Team Empire

Bane
Bane
Kaori · 23 games
43%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Ghostik · 19 games
26%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
lightless · 14 games
36%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kaori · 13 games
46%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Kaori · 13 games
46%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
[T]SA · 12 games
17%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Dodren · 12 games
33%
Io
Iooften banned
[T]SA · 11 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
445 picks · 267 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
375 picks · 498 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
367 picks · 507 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
352 picks · 482 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
281 picks · 422 bans
55%
Kunkka
Kunkka
281 picks · 495 bans
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
262 picks · 183 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
256 picks · 303 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 53%
Hero pool strength59% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 5
Model total59% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:25
Nemiga Gaming 54%Team Empire 46%
The model gave 54% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Team Empire in 37:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyKiritych
52% · 295 games42% · 145 games
KunkkaCooman
Kunkka
Puck
PuckAinkrad
48% · 344 games60% · 181 game
Templar AssassinDodren
Templar Assassin
Lycan
LycanTheChosenOne
55% · 77 games51% · 325 games
MarsDkFogas
Mars
Dark Willow
Dark WillowHeaven
45% · 184 games53% · 135 games
Phoenix[T]SA
Phoenix
Omniknight
OmniknightVANSKOR
54% · 44 games44% · 158 games
HoodwinkAntares
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 59%
Series resultTeam Empire 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1