Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Hryvnialoss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Crystal Maiden
aik · 27 games
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 23 games
Rubick
queezy · 22 games
Batridersignature
jesv · 20 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 16 games
Pugnasignature
queezy · 13 games
Techies
aik · 13 games
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
412 picks · 611 bans
Gyrocopter
356 picks · 380 bans
Crystal Maiden
354 picks · 133 bans
Centaur Warrunner
341 picks · 451 bans
Dark Willow
322 picks · 353 bans
Rubick
310 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
308 picks · 577 bans
Dragon Knight
307 picks · 588 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total79% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 79%Team Hryvnia 21%
The model gave 79% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 79%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1