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CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TNL DOTAwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 14 games
29%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bashka · 11 games
18%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 9 games
67%
Windranger
Windranger
xsvampire · 8 games
25%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
young G · 7 games
43%
Muerta
Muerta
Shishak · 7 games
29%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 7 games
29%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 7 games
0%

TNL DOTA

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Fernans · 9 games
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 8 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
flacko · 8 games
13%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Norma · 7 games
43%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Norma · 5 games
20%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Fernans · 5 games
20%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 5 games
80%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
yowaai · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
526 picks · 570 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
463 picks · 235 bans
51%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
436 picks · 483 bans
55%
Jakiro
Jakiro
412 picks · 330 bans
46%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
387 picks · 825 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
377 picks · 362 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
365 picks · 532 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
356 picks · 537 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength54% TNL DOTA
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Nemiga Gaming 56%TNL DOTA 44%
The model gave 56% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by TNL DOTA.
Game 2prediction missed
Nemiga Gaming 56%TNL DOTA 44%
The model gave 56% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by TNL DOTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 56%
Series resultTNL DOTA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2