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DreamLeague Season 29. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:0
VP.Prodigyloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
VaniLLl · 15 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 12 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 11 games
55%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
ariel · 10 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 9 games
44%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 9 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 9 games
44%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Covisnine · 8 games
38%

VP.Prodigy

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
JANTER · 28 games
64%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
raregods · 26 games
38%
Tiny
Tiny
raregods · 22 games
50%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
raregods · 18 games
56%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Katsura · 17 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptor
JANTER · 16 games
44%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Serenada · 16 games
44%
Axe
Axeoften banned
takizawa · 15 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
664 picks · 773 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
546 picks · 519 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
499 picks · 413 bans
50%
Warlock
Warlock
455 picks · 312 bans
47%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1118 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
397 picks · 801 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
395 picks · 319 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
390 picks · 598 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% VP.Prodigy
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total53% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 53%VP.Prodigy 47%
The model gave 53% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 53%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1