?
BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Atomicwin 2:0
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Purple Paradoxloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Atomic

Silencer
Silencer
Hated · 3 games
67%
Tiny
Tiny
JG · 2 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
JG · 2 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Hated · 1 game
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Hated · 1 game
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Hated · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
JG · 1 game
0%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Hated · 1 game
0%

Purple Paradox

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
seimei · 4 games
50%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
seimei · 1 game
100%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
seimei · 1 game
100%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
seimei · 1 game
100%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
seimei · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
372 picks · 589 bans
55%
Undying
Undying
323 picks · 568 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
310 picks · 203 bans
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
241 picks · 471 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
238 picks · 337 bans
55%
Enigma
Enigma
226 picks · 726 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
207 picks · 249 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
206 picks · 302 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% Purple Paradox
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Purple Paradox
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed55:18
Neon Atomic 38%Purple Paradox 62%
The model gave 62% on Purple Paradox — the game was taken by Neon Atomic in 34:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyJG
54% · 64 games46% · 73 games
Doomseimei
Doom
Primal Beast
Primal BeastHated
54% · 9 games
Game 2prediction missed40:19
Neon Atomic 39%Purple Paradox 61%
The model gave 61% on Purple Paradox — the game was taken by Neon Atomic in 46:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Mars
MarsJG
52% · 54 games47% · 96 games
Tuskseimei
Tusk
Undying
UndyingHated
54% · 42 games
Model check result
Model favoritePurple Paradox · 70%
Series resultNeon Atomic 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2