Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Atlantiswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Beastmasteroften banned
Enryu · 12 games
Snapfire
Se · 10 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Enryu · 10 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Karma丶 · 9 games
Miranasignature
Jing · 8 games
Rubick
NARMAN · 8 games
Weaversignature
Jing · 8 games
Kunkkasignature
MamangDaya · 7 games
Atlantis
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
504 picks · 439 bans
Mars
466 picks · 690 bans
Dragon Knight
433 picks · 543 bans
Bane
424 picks · 289 bans
Pangolier
362 picks · 597 bans
Storm Spirit
362 picks · 583 bans
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 629 bans
Sand King
336 picks · 495 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)23% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% Neon Esports
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total51% Atlantis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Neon Esports 49%Atlantis 51%
The model gave 51% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Atlantis.
Game 2prediction correct
Neon Esports 49%Atlantis 51%
The model gave 51% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Atlantis.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtlantis · 51%
Series resultAtlantis 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2