Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 1:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Baby Build Houseloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Mirana
NARMAN · 12 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Enryu · 12 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Enryu · 11 games
Lionsignature
NARMAN · 10 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Karma丶 · 10 games
Weaversignature
Jing · 10 games
Snapfire
Se · 9 games
Kunkkasignature
MamangDaya · 8 games
Baby Build House
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
506 picks · 438 bans
Mars
488 picks · 690 bans
Bane
452 picks · 289 bans
Dragon Knight
440 picks · 531 bans
Storm Spirit
383 picks · 619 bans
Sand King
379 picks · 541 bans
Pangolier
370 picks · 613 bans
Grimstroke
351 picks · 316 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)28% vs 27%
Hero pool strength53% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Neon Esports 51%Baby Build House 49%
The model gave 51% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
Neon Esports 51%Baby Build House 49%
The model gave 51% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Baby Build House.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2