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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Execrationloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 28 games
61%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 26 games
62%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 24 games
54%
Sand King
Sand King
Yopaj · 22 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 21 game
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Jaunuel · 19 games
53%
Lion
Lion
Jaunuel · 15 games
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Jaunuel · 13 games
54%

Execration

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 14 games
71%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 14 games
57%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
58%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Force · 11 games
55%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Palos · 11 games
64%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
64%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Force · 11 games
55%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
RR · 10 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
425 picks · 171 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
312 picks · 474 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
307 picks · 615 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
304 picks · 688 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
295 picks · 516 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
279 picks · 119 bans
49%
Lina
Lina
259 picks · 339 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
258 picks · 325 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 44%
Hero pool strength54% Execration
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total55% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:31
Neon Esports 52%Execration 48%
The model gave 52% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Execration in 33:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pudge
PudgeSkem
little data51% · 45 games
DoomPalos
Doom
Dark Seer
Dark SeerEnryu
41% · 44 games47% · 60 games
LinaBob
Lina
Windranger
WindrangerYopaj
73% · 18 games49% · 63 games
OracleRR
Oracle
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinShanks
49% · 88 games
Disruptor
DisruptorJaunuel
55% · 18 games
Game 2prediction correct48:17
Neon Esports 52%Execration 48%
The model gave 52% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 42:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinYopaj
60% · 46 games50% · 22 games
Arc WardenPalos
Arc Warden
Silencer
SilencerSkem
little data48% · 74 games
BatriderBob
Batrider
Leshrac
LeshracEnryu
47% · 45 games42% · 108 games
AbaddonRR
Abaddon
Tusk
TuskJaunuel
50% · 52 games
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinShanks
60% · 61 game
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2