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Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LBZSloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Mirana
Mirana
NARMAN · 12 games
58%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Enryu · 12 games
58%
Lion
Lionsignature
NARMAN · 11 games
64%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Karma丶 · 11 games
45%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Jing · 11 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Enryu · 10 games
60%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
MamangDaya · 8 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
MamangDaya · 8 games
63%

LBZS

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Shanks · 13 games
46%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Shanks · 8 games
13%
Tusk
Tusk
CatYou · 8 games
25%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Shanks · 6 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
CatYou · 6 games
17%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
33%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Shanks · 6 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Molasses · 6 games
17%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
504 picks · 450 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
489 picks · 696 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
454 picks · 290 bans
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
441 picks · 533 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
392 picks · 547 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
391 picks · 635 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 621 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
357 picks · 318 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 38%
Hero pool strength61% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Neon Esports 62%LBZS 38%
The model gave 62% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Neon Esports 62%LBZS 38%
The model gave 62% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 62%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2