BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Reaperloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Chen
Se · 8 games
Earthshaker
PlayHard · 8 games
Undyingoften banned
Se · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Enryu · 6 games
Snapfire
Hated · 6 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
FortuneSoul · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
Se · 5 games
Tusk
PlayHard · 5 games
Reaper
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
398 picks · 385 bans
Tiny
357 picks · 357 bans
Rubick
338 picks · 232 bans
Mirana
286 picks · 291 bans
Snapfire
216 picks · 112 bans
Treant Protector
215 picks · 269 bans
Crystal Maiden
209 picks · 149 bans
Pangolier
191 picks · 531 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 29%
Hero pool strength55% Reaper
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Neon Esports 78%Reaper 22%
The model gave 78% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Neon Esports 78%Reaper 22%
The model gave 78% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 78%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2