Открытые киберспортивные студенческие игры 2024. Мировой финал · BO1
result vs prediction
Непалloss 0:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Иранwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Непал
No games played over 6 months.
Иран
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
345 picks · 307 bans
Pangolier
343 picks · 468 bans
Tusk
333 picks · 457 bans
Snapfire
323 picks · 209 bans
Enchantress
315 picks · 580 bans
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 458 bans
Windranger
263 picks · 365 bans
Luna
261 picks · 327 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Непал
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% Непал
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Непал 52%Иран 48%
The model gave 52% on Непал — the game was taken by Иран.
Model check result
Model favoriteНепал · 52%
Series resultИран 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1