Открытые киберспортивные студенческие игры 2024. Мировой финал · BO1
result vs prediction
Непалwin 1:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Кыргызстанloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Непал
No games played over 6 months.
Кыргызстан
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
345 picks · 304 bans
Pangolier
343 picks · 465 bans
Tusk
332 picks · 454 bans
Snapfire
322 picks · 209 bans
Enchantress
314 picks · 577 bans
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 457 bans
Windranger
263 picks · 366 bans
Luna
261 picks · 327 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Непал
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Непал
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Непал 54%Кыргызстан 46%
The model gave 54% on Непал — the game was taken by Непал.
Model check result
Model favoriteНепал · 54%
Series resultНепал 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1