Открытые киберспортивные студенческие игры 2024. Мировой финал · BO1
result vs prediction
Непалwin 1:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Южно-Африканская Республикаloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Непал
No games played over 6 months.
Южно-Африканская Республика
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
341 picks · 298 bans
Pangolier
341 picks · 461 bans
Tusk
329 picks · 450 bans
Snapfire
321 picks · 210 bans
Enchantress
315 picks · 566 bans
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 457 bans
Windranger
264 picks · 368 bans
Luna
258 picks · 321 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Непал
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Непал
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Непал 59%Южно-Африканская Республика 41%
The model gave 59% on Непал — the game was taken by Непал.
Model check result
Model favoriteНепал · 59%
Series resultНепал 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1