Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Neptune Gamingloss 0:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neptune Gaming
Tidehunteroften banned
Yang · 16 games
Phoenix
fy · 13 games
Lion
fy · 12 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Yang · 11 games
Leshracoften banned
Somnus · 10 games
Hoodwink
fy · 9 games
Linasignature
Somnus · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Somnus · 9 games
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
276 picks · 412 bans
Tidehunter
270 picks · 394 bans
Monkey King
258 picks · 646 bans
Bane
241 picks · 183 bans
Weaver
231 picks · 439 bans
Lina
216 picks · 477 bans
Lion
207 picks · 108 bans
Void Spirit
207 picks · 263 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 71%
Hero pool strength52% Neptune Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:23
Neptune Gaming 32%Ybb Gaming 68%
The model gave 68% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 42:30.
Game 2prediction correct10:21
Neptune Gaming 32%Ybb Gaming 68%
The model gave 68% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 22:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 68%
Series resultYbb Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2