BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nerdy Ninjasloss 0:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TTTeam Toughwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nerdy Ninjas
No games played over 6 months.
Team Tough
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
249 picks · 421 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
213 picks · 328 bans
Tusk
198 picks · 184 bans
Dark Willow
196 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
194 picks · 267 bans
Treant Protector
187 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 507 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Nerdy Ninjas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Team Tough
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nerdy Ninjas 40%Team Tough 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Tough — the game was taken by Team Tough.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tough · 60%
Series resultTeam Tough 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1