ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionNTnew team callingloss 0:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
OEOQ Enjoyerswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
new team calling
No games played over 6 months.
OQ Enjoyers
Tusk
Kyzko · 2 games
Alchemist
WoE · 1 game
Bane
Fishman · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
ChodΣX · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Stojkov · 1 game
Mirana
Fishman · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
ChodΣX · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Stojkov · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
548 picks · 744 bans
Tusk
489 picks · 352 bans
Dragon Knight
465 picks · 640 bans
Centaur Warrunner
439 picks · 541 bans
Shadow Demon
373 picks · 643 bans
Gyrocopter
362 picks · 550 bans
Hoodwink
349 picks · 158 bans
Mars
348 picks · 468 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength57% new team calling
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% OQ Enjoyers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:17
new team calling 36%OQ Enjoyers 64%
The model gave 64% on OQ Enjoyers — the game was taken by OQ Enjoyers in 32:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteOQ Enjoyers · 64%
Series resultOQ Enjoyers 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1