Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionNGNext Generationloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gods of Hellwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Next Generation
No games played over 6 months.
Gods of Hell
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
471 picks · 224 bans
Tiny
414 picks · 629 bans
Batrider
409 picks · 711 bans
Gyrocopter
402 picks · 361 bans
Centaur Warrunner
393 picks · 573 bans
Rubick
371 picks · 159 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 776 bans
Shadow Demon
334 picks · 942 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 36%
Hero pool strength50% Next Generation
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Gods of Hell
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Next Generation 47%Gods of Hell 53%
The model gave 53% on Gods of Hell — the game was taken by Gods of Hell.
Game 2prediction correct
Next Generation 47%Gods of Hell 53%
The model gave 53% on Gods of Hell — the game was taken by Gods of Hell.
Model check result
Model favoriteGods of Hell · 53%
Series resultGods of Hell 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2