Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionNGNext Generationwin 1:0
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:0
MMousesloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Next Generation
No games played over 6 months.
Mouses
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
478 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
423 picks · 637 bans
Batrider
415 picks · 721 bans
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 361 bans
Centaur Warrunner
402 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
377 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
367 picks · 786 bans
Shadow Demon
336 picks · 949 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Next Generation
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Mouses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Next Generation 39%Mouses 61%
The model gave 61% on Mouses — the game was taken by Next Generation.
Model check result
Model favoriteMouses · 61%
Series resultNext Generation 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1