BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionNNGNBloss 0:1
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:1
MDMideng Dreamerwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NGNB
No games played over 6 months.
Mideng Dreamer
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
675 picks · 847 bans
Tiny
575 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
500 picks · 426 bans
Warlock
479 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
418 picks · 1134 bans
Ember Spirit
405 picks · 685 bans
Shadow Fiend
397 picks · 1027 bans
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% NGNB
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Mideng Dreamer
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:26
NGNB 29%Mideng Dreamer 71%
The model gave 71% on Mideng Dreamer — the game was taken by Mideng Dreamer in 39:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteMideng Dreamer · 71%
Series resultMideng Dreamer 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1