The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionNNGNBloss 0:2
series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NGNB
No games played over 6 months.
Yakult Brothers
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 20 games
Leshracoften banned
Moon · 15 games
Jakiro
天命 · 14 games
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 14 games
Puckoften banned
Moon · 14 games
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 13 games
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 12 games
Largooften banned
天命 · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
615 picks · 395 bans
Rubick
516 picks · 286 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 580 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 387 bans
Pangolier
423 picks · 594 bans
Puck
343 picks · 968 bans
Tusk
338 picks · 285 bans
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 501 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 41%
Hero pool strength51% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total88% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:34
NGNB 12%Yakult Brothers 88%
The model gave 88% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 37:13.
Game 2prediction correct13:32
NGNB 12%Yakult Brothers 88%
The model gave 88% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 31:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 88%
Series resultYakult Brothers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2