BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Night Pulseloss 0:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:1
One Movewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Night Pulse
Grimstrokeoften banned
JANTER · 2 games
Shadow Demon
JANTER · 1 game
One Move
Disruptor
Xakoda · 10 games
Legion Commandersignature
AfterLife · 9 games
Ember Spirit
Ainkrad · 8 games
Rubick
Panto · 8 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
AfterLife · 7 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Munkushi~ · 7 games
Batridersignature
Gilgir · 6 games
Skywrath Mage
Panto · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
249 picks · 421 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
213 picks · 328 bans
Tusk
198 picks · 184 bans
Dark Willow
196 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
194 picks · 267 bans
Treant Protector
187 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 507 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% One Move
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Night Pulse 42%One Move 58%
The model gave 58% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 58%
Series resultOne Move 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1