RES Regional Series: EU #4 · BO2
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Hryvnialoss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Night Pulse
Hoodwinkoften banned
JANTER · 23 games
Jakiro
Hduo · 21 game
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 19 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
Morphlingoften banned
Kami · 17 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 17 games
Phoenixoften banned
Hduo · 16 games
Grimstrokesignature
Hduo · 15 games
Team Hryvnia
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
358 picks · 349 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
346 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
319 picks · 507 bans
Sven
295 picks · 305 bans
Snapfire
286 picks · 257 bans
Windranger
275 picks · 372 bans
Dragon Knight
269 picks · 460 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Night Pulse
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total83% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:14
Night Pulse 83%Team Hryvnia 17%
The model gave 83% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 30:47.
Game 2prediction correct22:18
Night Pulse 83%Team Hryvnia 17%
The model gave 83% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 28:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 83%
Series resultNight Pulse 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2