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CCT Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 2:1
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Türkiyeloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
JANTER · 17 games
35%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Hduo · 15 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
36%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 10 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
V-Tune · 9 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
JANTER · 9 games
33%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
JANTER · 9 games
44%
Ursa
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 9 games
67%

Team Türkiye

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
G.T.I · 13 games
54%
Lich
Lich
Stoic · 12 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Jeezy · 11 games
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Stoic · 9 games
78%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
G.T.I · 9 games
56%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Jeezy · 9 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
G.T.I · 8 games
63%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Stoic · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
484 picks · 414 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
442 picks · 574 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
427 picks · 228 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
424 picks · 541 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
420 picks · 729 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
413 picks · 489 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 592 bans
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
357 picks · 939 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Team Türkiye
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Night Pulse 86%Team Türkiye 14%
The model gave 86% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Team Türkiye.
Game 2prediction correct
Night Pulse 86%Team Türkiye 14%
The model gave 86% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Game 3prediction correct
Night Pulse 86%Team Türkiye 14%
The model gave 86% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 86%
Series resultNight Pulse 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3