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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulseloss 1:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Teawin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
JANTER · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
JANTER · 9 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
JANTER · 9 games
78%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Kami · 9 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Corrupted · 8 games
25%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 8 games
63%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 7 games
57%

Team Tea

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 592 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
359 picks · 383 bans
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
356 picks · 137 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
343 picks · 450 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
323 picks · 349 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
308 picks · 575 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
306 picks · 383 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
306 picks · 156 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:34
Night Pulse 62%Team Tea 38%
The model gave 62% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 39:18.
Game 2prediction missed34:16
Night Pulse 62%Team Tea 38%
The model gave 62% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Team Tea in 30:24.
Game 3prediction missed36:14
Night Pulse 62%Team Tea 38%
The model gave 62% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Team Tea in 29:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 62%
Series resultTeam Tea 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3