BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 2:1series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TTraffKillasloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Night Pulse
Hoodwinkoften banned
JANTER · 23 games
Jakiro
Hduo · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 18 games
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 18 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
Morphlingoften banned
Kami · 17 games
Doomoften banned
Kami · 16 games
Phoenixoften banned
Hduo · 16 games
TraffKillas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
370 picks · 353 bans
Hoodwink
360 picks · 404 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
329 picks · 522 bans
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
Phoenix
287 picks · 490 bans
Windranger
281 picks · 347 bans
Snapfire
276 picks · 250 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:14
Night Pulse 82%TraffKillas 18%
The model gave 82% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by TraffKillas in 26:01.
Game 2prediction correct28:7
Night Pulse 82%TraffKillas 18%
The model gave 82% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 24:57.
Game 3prediction correct16:44
Night Pulse 82%TraffKillas 18%
The model gave 82% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 29:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 82%
Series resultNight Pulse 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3