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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Dream Makerloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 19 games
68%
Puck
Pucksignature
AlaCrity · 16 games
63%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 13 games
46%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Poloson · 10 games
70%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 9 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 8 games
63%

Dream Maker

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
377 picks · 171 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
349 picks · 127 bans
48%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 521 bans
57%
Lina
Lina
256 picks · 424 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
254 picks · 343 bans
47%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
248 picks · 243 bans
54%
Luna
Luna
247 picks · 340 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
236 picks · 495 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:8
Nigma Galaxy SEA 52%Dream Maker 48%
The model gave 52% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 27:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KinginYourdreaM
39% · 40 games54% · 55 games
Legion CommanderNevermine
Legion Commander
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerMeracle
43% · 15 games52% · 201 game
Lionczy
Lion
Batrider
BatriderAlaCrity
48% · 51 game40% · 6 games
LichTrazaM
Lich
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinJhocam
51% · 141 game
Omniknight
OmniknightPoloson
59% · 15 games
Game 2prediction missed16:29
Nigma Galaxy SEA 51%Dream Maker 49%
The model gave 51% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Dream Maker in 32:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverinYourdreaM
40% · 24 games67% · 125 games
BeastmasterNevermine
Beastmaster
Puck
PuckAlaCrity
37% · 79 games52% · 56 games
Windrangerczy
Windranger
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerMeracle
41% · 26 games45% · 45 games
OmniknightTrazaM
Omniknight
Monkey King
Monkey KingJhocam
45% · 38 games
Pangolier
PangolierPoloson
51% · 59 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2