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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Execrationloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 22 games
73%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 14 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 10 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Poloson · 10 games
70%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 9 games
67%

Execration

Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 17 games
59%
Puck
Pucksignature
Bob · 15 games
60%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
RR · 14 games
64%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 14 games
71%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
RR · 12 games
58%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
58%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 10 games
80%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
RR · 10 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
372 picks · 178 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
340 picks · 122 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
271 picks · 484 bans
53%
Luna
Luna
252 picks · 342 bans
51%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
250 picks · 529 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
249 picks · 418 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
242 picks · 314 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
235 picks · 487 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 39%
Hero pool strength50% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total67% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct55:40
Nigma Galaxy SEA 63%Execration 37%
The model gave 63% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 58:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordinYourdreaM
59% · 32 games48% · 55 games
GyrocopterTino-
Gyrocopter
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerMeracle
43% · 3 games39% · 26 games
Queen of PainBob
Queen of Pain
Kunkka
KunkkaAlaCrity
51% · 16 games42% · 19 games
Ogre MagiRR
Ogre Magi
Weaver
WeaverJhocam
51% · 15 games
Tidehunter
TidehunterPoloson
56% · 34 games
Game 2prediction correct63:22
Nigma Galaxy SEA 61%Execration 39%
The model gave 61% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 38:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracinYourdreaM
50% · 52 games46% · 90 games
MorphlingTino-
Morphling
Spectre
SpectreMeracle
58% · 11 games48% · 79 games
BatriderBob
Batrider
Tiny
TinyAlaCrity
44% · 36 games45% · 26 games
Ogre MagiRR
Ogre Magi
Snapfire
SnapfireJhocam
52% · 52 games
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonPoloson
64% · 44 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 67%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2