BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Execrationloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 22 games
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 14 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 11 games
Snapfire
Poloson · 11 games
Ember Spiritsignature
AlaCrity · 10 games
Execration
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 19 games
Pucksignature
Bob · 16 games
Abaddonsignature
RR · 14 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 13 games
Tinysignature
Tino- · 13 games
Treant Protector
RR · 12 games
Invokeroften banned
Bob · 11 games
Linasignature
Bob · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
285 picks · 160 bans
Mars
271 picks · 363 bans
Lina
258 picks · 533 bans
Tidehunter
248 picks · 389 bans
Pangolier
241 picks · 342 bans
Shadow Demon
230 picks · 241 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
225 picks · 298 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 34%
Hero pool strength50% Execration
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total59% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 59%