BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 20 games
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 13 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
Enchantresssignature
Poloson · 10 games
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 9 games
Dark Seersignature
Meracle · 8 games
Neon Esports
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 29 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 28 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 23 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Yopaj · 21 game
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 20 games
Tusk
Jaunuel · 19 games
Leshracoften banned
Deth · 17 games
Clockwerksignature
Jaunuel · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
376 picks · 172 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 125 bans
Lina
267 picks · 473 bans
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 524 bans
Luna
252 picks · 350 bans
Mars
246 picks · 418 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 301 bans
Dragon Knight
236 picks · 328 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total69% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 69%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect