BetBoom Dacha · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
beastcoastwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy
Disruptorsignature
GH · 21 game
Beastmastersignature
MinD_ContRoL · 18 games
Enchantresssignature
KuroKy · 16 games
Timbersawoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 15 games
Iooften banned
GH · 10 games
Snapfire
MinD_ContRoL · 10 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Yuma · 8 games
Dark Seeroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 8 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
438 picks · 209 bans
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 517 bans
Techies
330 picks · 344 bans
Batrider
305 picks · 521 bans
Morphling
297 picks · 576 bans
Undying
295 picks · 481 bans
Timbersaw
276 picks · 657 bans
Storm Spirit
258 picks · 497 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 25%
Hero pool strength53% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:29
Nigma Galaxy 43%beastcoast 57%
The model gave 57% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast in 28:07.
Game 2prediction correct18:38
Nigma Galaxy 43%beastcoast 57%
The model gave 57% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast in 43:56.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 57%
Series resultbeastcoast 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2