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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 1:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
GH · 21 game
86%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OmaR · 17 games
53%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
GH · 15 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
SumaiL · 15 games
73%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Fbz · 13 games
85%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
SumaiL · 9 games
33%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Miracle- · 9 games
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 23 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 15 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 14 games
64%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 14 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Save- · 14 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 12 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
352 picks · 318 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
343 picks · 466 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
328 picks · 464 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
303 picks · 179 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
302 picks · 585 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
271 picks · 332 bans
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
268 picks · 442 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
250 picks · 357 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 48%
Hero pool strength55% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:34
Nigma Galaxy 56%BETBOOM TEAM 44%
The model gave 56% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 48:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaMiracle-
58% · 308 games55% · 225 games
Templar AssassinPure~
Templar Assassin
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritSumaiL
46% · 89 games44% · 252 games
DoomMieRo
Doom
Pangolier
PangolierNo!ob
49% · 399 games54% · 307 games
Timbersawkiyotaka
Timbersaw
Hoodwink
HoodwinkOmaR
49% · 341 game48% · 346 games
SnapfireSave-
Snapfire
Phoenix
PhoenixGH
47% · 321 game49% · 328 games
ClockwerkKataomi
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct28:14
Nigma Galaxy 56%BETBOOM TEAM 44%
The model gave 56% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 33:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendMiracle-
54% · 135 games44% · 113 games
Templar AssassinPure~
Templar Assassin
Sand King
Sand KingSumaiL
52% · 117 games50% · 89 games
Earth Spiritkiyotaka
Earth Spirit
Primal Beast
Primal BeastNo!ob
59% · 222 games45% · 173 games
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Tusk
TuskGH
49% · 262 games50% · 259 games
EnchantressKataomi
Enchantress
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinOmaR
54% · 97 games43% · 199 games
Dark WillowSave-
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2