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Clavision DOTA2 Masters 2025: Snow-Ruyi · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxywin 2:1
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
OmaR · 33 games
58%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
No!ob · 25 games
64%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
GH · 25 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 24 games
54%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Ghost · 23 games
61%
Puck
Puckoften banned
SumaiL · 21 game
57%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 20 games
40%
Doom
Doomoften banned
No!ob · 19 games
53%

Xtreme Gaming

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 24 games
71%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 24 games
38%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Poloson · 23 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 23 games
61%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 19 games
47%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ame · 19 games
58%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
541 picks · 562 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
417 picks · 419 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
366 picks · 390 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
346 picks · 516 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
324 picks · 197 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
324 picks · 717 bans
45%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
315 picks · 596 bans
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
301 picks · 440 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total60% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed48:10
Nigma Galaxy 46%Xtreme Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 40:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidGhost
50% · 4 games53% · 109 games
LunaAme
Luna
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSumaiL
56% · 148 games40% · 56 games
AxeXxs
Axe
Mars
MarsNo!ob
47% · 113 games47% · 186 games
PuckXm
Puck
Bane
BaneGH
57% · 97 games47% · 143 games
Shadow ShamanPyw
Shadow Shaman
Muerta
MuertaOmaR
52% · 206 games49% · 74 games
Elder TitanxNova
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct16:26
Nigma Galaxy 46%Xtreme Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 41:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaGhost
49% · 228 games45% · 212 games
TerrorbladeAme
Terrorblade
Death Prophet
Death ProphetSumaiL
55% · 77 games46% · 212 games
Storm SpiritXm
Storm Spirit
Primal Beast
Primal BeastNo!ob
43% · 193 games44% · 89 games
UndyingXxs
Undying
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanOmaR
54% · 243 games52% · 248 games
MuertaPyw
Muerta
Pugna
PugnaGH
60% · 225 games53% · 205 games
ClockwerkxNova
Clockwerk
Game 3prediction missed30:5
Nigma Galaxy 44%Xtreme Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 35:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidGhost
little data51% · 173 games
Nature's ProphetAme
Nature's Prophet
Puck
PuckSumaiL
47% · 253 games46% · 289 games
BeastmasterXxs
Beastmaster
Primal Beast
Primal BeastNo!ob
47% · 134 games61% · 112 games
Void SpiritXm
Void Spirit
Bane
BaneOmaR
56% · 59 games47% · 73 games
AxePyw
Axe
Tusk
TuskGH
43% · 304 games58% · 103 games
Crystal MaidenxNova
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 60%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3