BetBoom Streamers Battle 7 · BO5
result vs prediction
Nix Teamloss 1:3series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:3
GoodWin Teamwin 3:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nix Team
Baneoften banned
Lukawa · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
xannii · 1 game
Rubick
Nix · 1 game
Techies
alagon · 1 game
Timbersawoften banned
bowbowbow · 1 game
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
435 picks · 366 bans
Hoodwink
423 picks · 461 bans
Weaver
389 picks · 838 bans
Tiny
387 picks · 872 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 535 bans
Clockwerk
340 picks · 509 bans
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 623 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)85% vs 71%
Hero pool strength56% Nix Team
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total64% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:32
Nix Team 64%GoodWin Team 36%
The model gave 64% on Nix Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 46:39.
Game 2prediction missed30:19
Nix Team 64%GoodWin Team 36%
The model gave 64% on Nix Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 45:47.
Game 3prediction correct36:18
Nix Team 64%GoodWin Team 36%
The model gave 64% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 31:18.
Game 4prediction missed47:34
Nix Team 64%GoodWin Team 36%
The model gave 64% on Nix Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 51:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 64%
Series resultGoodWin Team 1:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 4