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BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nix Teamloss 1:2
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Recrent Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nix Team

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
bowbowbow · 1 game
100%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
alagon · 1 game
100%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
xannii · 1 game
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
ct0m · 1 game
100%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
bowbowbow · 1 game
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nix · 1 game
0%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Nix · 1 game
100%
Lina
Lina
Nix · 1 game
100%

Recrent Team

Lich
Lich
Ubica · 3 games
33%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Shishak · 3 games
67%
Techies
Techies
Shishak · 3 games
100%
Axe
Axe
Petushara · 2 games
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Petushara · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Smiling Knight · 2 games
100%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
Smiling Knight · 2 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Petushara · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
534 picks · 328 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
476 picks · 576 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
427 picks · 228 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
420 picks · 355 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
349 picks · 480 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
338 picks · 231 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
324 picks · 847 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
316 picks · 822 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% Nix Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:36
Nix Team 63%Recrent Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 26:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
Kezxannii
58% · 70 games52% · 36 games
Drow RangerSmiling Knight
Drow Ranger
Pangolier
PangolierNix
52% · 283 games50% · 306 games
Axekolya_kaBAN68
Axe
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerbowbowbow
54% · 240 games40% · 330 games
Queen of PainRecrent
Queen of Pain
Jakiro
Jakiroalagon
47% · 349 games47% · 198 games
PugnaShishak
Pugna
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritct0m
59% · 9 games50% · 81 game
PudgeUbica
Pudge
Game 2prediction correct40:25
Nix Team 64%Recrent Team 36%
The model gave 64% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 40:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerxannii
53% · 49 games38% · 120 games
Brewmasterkolya_kaBAN68
Brewmaster
Zeus
ZeusNix
60% · 14 games43% · 3 games
RikiSmiling Knight
Riki
Bristleback
Bristlebackbowbowbow
61% · 97 games46% · 370 games
SnapfireRecrent
Snapfire
Warlock
Warlockct0m
54% · 178 games48% · 64 games
GrimstrokeShishak
Grimstroke
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkalagon
52% · 273 games51% · 54 games
Ogre MagiUbica
Ogre Magi
Game 3prediction missed0:0
Nix Team 63%Recrent Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 57:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunaxannii
40% · 67 games53% · 94 games
InvokerRecrent
Invoker
Sand King
Sand KingNix
49% · 96 games59% · 74 games
Lycankolya_kaBAN68
Lycan
Underlord
Underlordbowbowbow
46% · 170 games48% · 80 games
ClinkzSmiling Knight
Clinkz
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonalagon
51% · 243 games51% · 181 game
RingmasterShishak
Ringmaster
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakerct0m
49% · 61 game52% · 208 games
Shadow ShamanUbica
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 74%
Series resultRecrent Team 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3