Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionNLNo Limits Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:0
SDSIN DPC!!!loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Limits Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
SIN DPC!!!
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
769 picks · 503 bans
Tiny
546 picks · 386 bans
Tusk
540 picks · 435 bans
Treant Protector
534 picks · 582 bans
Nature's Prophet
412 picks · 643 bans
Snapfire
395 picks · 279 bans
Death Prophet
384 picks · 703 bans
Ember Spirit
359 picks · 778 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% No Limits Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% SIN DPC!!!
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
No Limits Gaming 45%SIN DPC!!! 55%
The model gave 55% on SIN DPC!!! — the game was taken by No Limits Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteSIN DPC!!! · 55%
Series resultNo Limits Gaming 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1