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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
No Limits Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TRocketloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

No Limits Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

TRocket

Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
Greedy · 3 games
33%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Pamplona · 3 games
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
100%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Pamplona · 2 games
50%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
CarJua · 2 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Pamplona · 2 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
H1j4ck · 2 games
100%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Pamplona · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
768 picks · 500 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
545 picks · 382 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
539 picks · 435 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
534 picks · 581 bans
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
411 picks · 642 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
394 picks · 277 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
383 picks · 700 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
359 picks · 776 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% TRocket
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% No Limits Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:28
No Limits Gaming 62%TRocket 38%
The model gave 62% on No Limits Gaming — the game was taken by TRocket in 34:11.
Game 2prediction correct40:17
No Limits Gaming 62%TRocket 38%
The model gave 62% on No Limits Gaming — the game was taken by No Limits Gaming in 31:44.
Game 3prediction correct25:15
No Limits Gaming 62%TRocket 38%
The model gave 62% on No Limits Gaming — the game was taken by No Limits Gaming in 32:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Limits Gaming · 62%
Series resultNo Limits Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3