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BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
No Runesloss 1:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Ravensloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

No Runes

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Nuages · 3 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Nuages · 3 games
33%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
Hyko · 2 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Mr.Jeans · 2 games
50%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Jupiter · 2 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
Jupiter · 2 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 2 games
100%

Ravens

Tiny
Tiny
d1smar · 12 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
d1smar · 11 games
18%
Visage
Visagesignature
Benjaz · 11 games
64%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Cara · 9 games
56%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Benjaz · 8 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfire
d1smar · 7 games
29%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 6 games
83%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
Benjaz · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
469 picks · 311 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
463 picks · 458 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
454 picks · 404 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
331 picks · 328 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
321 picks · 370 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
281 picks · 146 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
259 picks · 642 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
244 picks · 608 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 38%
Hero pool strength52% No Runes
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% No Runes
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:2
No Runes 53%Ravens 47%
The model gave 53% on No Runes — the game was taken by Ravens in 15:00.
Game 2prediction missed48:54
No Runes 53%Ravens 47%
The model gave 53% on No Runes — the game was taken by Ravens in 59:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Runes · 53%
Accuracy by game0 of 2