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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
No Sorryloss 0:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bramewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

No Sorry

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
layme · 17 games
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 16 games
63%
Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 15 games
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 15 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 15 games
40%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 14 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 12 games
42%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 9 games
33%

Brame

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SkyLark · 18 games
61%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 17 games
76%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Nefrit · 17 games
53%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 15 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
43%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
W1sh- · 14 games
43%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
43%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
453 picks · 274 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
432 picks · 582 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
396 picks · 465 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
348 picks · 750 bans
54%
Sand King
Sand King
338 picks · 463 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
321 picks · 481 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
296 picks · 430 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
291 picks · 436 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total61% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:35
No Sorry 44%Brame 56%
The model gave 56% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 30:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
Tinylayme
50% · 247 games55% · 131 game
Wraith KingFocus
Wraith King
Sand King
Sand KingWorick
50% · 173 games48% · 83 games
ViperSkyLark
Viper
Beastmaster
BeastmasterLastHero-
51% · 124 games50% · 237 games
Storm SpiritThuG
Storm Spirit
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightBLACKARXANGEL
55% · 114 games44% · 122 games
ClockwerkdEsire
Clockwerk
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magey0nd
45% · 98 games52% · 183 games
EnchantressSsaSpartan
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct34:36
No Sorry 44%Brame 56%
The model gave 56% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 44:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
Clinkzlayme
54% · 22 games58% · 190 games
MedusaFocus
Medusa
Axe
AxeLastHero-
38% · 96 games53% · 222 games
Dragon KnightSkyLark
Dragon Knight
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritWorick
50% · 218 games52% · 178 games
Sand KingThuG
Sand King
Enchantress
EnchantressBLACKARXANGEL
52% · 158 games54% · 66 games
UndyingSsaSpartan
Undying
Hoodwink
Hoodwinky0nd
42% · 244 games49% · 82 games
Skywrath MagedEsire
Skywrath Mage
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 61%
Series resultBrame 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2